IZA Discussion Papers

published as ' Expectations, reference points, and compliance with COVID-19 social distancing measures' in: Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics, 2023, 103, 101983

IZA Discussion Paper No. 13060

Why Do We Procrastinate? Present Bias and Optimism

Zachary Breig, Matthew Gibson, Jeffrey G. Shrader

IZA Discussion Paper No. 12979

Forward Guidance and Household Expectations

Olivier Coibion, Dimitris Georgarakos, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Michael Weber

published in: Journal of the European Economic Association, 2023, 21 (5), 2131–217

IZA Discussion Paper No. 12945

Self-Perceptions about Academic Achievement: Evidence from Mexico City

Matteo Bobba, Veronica Frisancho

published in: Journal of Econometrics, 2022, 231 (1), 58 - 73

IZA Discussion Paper No. 12604

Policy Uncertainty and Information Flows: Evidence from Pension Reform Expectations

Emanuele Ciani, Adeline Delavande, Ben Etheridge, Marco Francesconi

published in: Economic Journal, 2023, 133 (649), 98-129

IZA Discussion Paper No. 12553

Economic Polarization and Antisocial Behavior: An Experiment

Maria Bigoni, Stefania Bortolotti, Efşan Nas Özen

published in: Games and Economic Behavior, 2021, 126, 387 - 401

IZA Discussion Paper No. 12522

Gender Differences in Wage Expectations: Sorting, Children, and Negotiation Styles

Lukas Kiessling, Pia Pinger, Philipp K. Seegers, Jan Bergerhoff

published in: Labour Economics, 2024, 87, 12522

IZA Discussion Paper No. 12498

How Does Consumption Respond to News about Inflation? Field Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial

Olivier Coibion, Dimitris Georgarakos, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Maarten van Rooij

IZA Discussion Paper No. 12271

Understanding Migration Aversion Using Elicited Counterfactual Choice Probabilities

Gizem Koşar, Tyler Ransom, Wilbert van der Klaauw

published in: Journal of Econometrics, 2022, 231 (1), 123-147

IZA Discussion Paper No. 12153

Measuring Belief-Dependent Preferences without Information about Beliefs

Charles Bellemare, Alexander Sebald

IZA Discussion Paper No. 12056

I Read the News Today, Oh Boy: The Effect of Crime News Coverage on Crime Perception and Trust

Daniel Velásquez, Santiago Medina, Gustavo Yamada, Pablo Lavado, Miguel Núñez, Hugo Alatrista, Juandiego Morzan

published in: World Development, 2020, 136, 105111

IZA Discussion Paper No. 11989

Rationalizing Rational Expectations? Tests and Deviations

Xavier D'Haultfoeuille, Christophe Gaillac, Arnaud Maurel

published in: Quantitative Economics, 2021, 12 (3), 817 - 842

IZA Discussion Paper No. 11891

The Great Recession and Children's Mental Health in Australia

Melisa Bubonya, Deborah A. Cobb-Clark, Daniel Christensen, Sarah E. Johnson, Stephen R. Zubrick

published in: International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 2019, 16 (4), 537

IZA Discussion Paper No. 10984

Trading While Sleepy? Circadian Mismatch and Excess Volatility in a Global Experimental Asset Market

David L. Dickinson, Ananish Chaudhuri, Ryan Greenaway-McGrevy

revised version published as 'Trading while sleepy? Circadian mismatch and mispricing in a global experimental asset market' in: Experimental Economics, 2020, 23, 526 - 533

IZA Discussion Paper No. 10932

Gender Stereotyping and Self-Stereotyping Attitudes: A Large Field Study of Managers

Tor Eriksson, Nina Smith, Valdemar Smith

published as 'Gender stereotyping and self-stereotyping among Danish managers' in: Gender in Management: An International Journal, 2021, 36 (5), 622-639

IZA Discussion Paper No. 10754

Disappointment Aversion and Social Comparisons in a Real-Effort Competition

Simon Gächter, Lingbo Huang, Martin Sefton

revised version published in Economic Inquiry, 2018, 56 (3), 1512-1525

IZA Discussion Paper No. 10434

Unawareness and Selective Disclosure: The Effect of School Quality Information on Property Prices

John de New, Syed Hasan, Nikhil Jha, Mathias Sinning

published in: Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 2018, 145, 449-464

IZA Discussion Paper No. 10406

Locus of Control and Investment in Training

Marco Caliendo, Deborah A. Cobb-Clark, Helke Seitz, Arne Uhlendorff

published in: Journal of Human Resources, 2022, 57(4), 1311-1349

IZA Discussion Paper No. 10165

Teacher Expectations Matter

Nicholas W. Papageorge, Seth Gershenson, Kyungmin Kang

published in: Review of Economics and Statistics, 2020, 102(2): 234-251.

IZA Discussion Paper No. 9564

Are Competitors Forward Looking in Strategic Interactions? Evidence from the Field

Mario Lackner, Rudi Stracke, Uwe Sunde, Rudolf Winter-Ebmer

published in: Journal of Economic Behavior and Organisation, 2020, 179, 544-565

IZA Discussion Paper No. 9446

Competitiveness and the Gender Gap among Young Business Professionals

Ernesto Reuben, Paola Sapienza, Luigi Zingales

published in: Journal of Finance, 2024, 79, 1087-1121

IZA Discussion Paper No. 9445

Intended College Attendance: Evidence from an Experiment on College Returns and Cost

Zachary Bleemer, Basit Zafar

published in: Journal of Public Economics, 2018, 157, 184-211

IZA Discussion Paper No. 9444

Personal Experiences and Expectations about Aggregate Outcomes

Theresa Kuchler, Basit Zafar

published in: Journal of Finance, 2019, 74 (5), 2491-2542

IZA Discussion Paper No. 9387

Information Characteristics and Errors in Expectations: Experimental Evidence

Constantinos Antoniou, Glenn Harrison, Morten Lau, Daniel Read

published in: Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 2017, 52 (2), 737-750

IZA Discussion Paper No. 9301

The Great Expectations: Impact of One-Child Policy on Education of Girls

Wei Huang, Xiaoyan Lei, Ang Sun

published as 'Fertility Restrictions and Life Cycle Outcomes: Evidence from the One-Child Policy in China' in: Review of Economics and Statistics, 2021, 103 (4), 695 - 710

IZA Discussion Paper No. 9242

The Power of (Non) Positive Thinking: Self-Employed Pessimists Earn More than Optimists

Christopher Dawson, David Emmanuel de Meza, Andrew Henley, Reza Arabsheibani

published as 'Curb your enthusiasm: Optimistic entrepreneurs earn less' in: European Economic Review, 2019, 111, 53 - 69

IZA Discussion Paper No. 9202

Who Believes in Me? The Effect of Student-Teacher Demographic Match on Teacher Expectations

Seth Gershenson, Stephen B. Holt, Nicholas W. Papageorge

published in: Economics of Education Review, 2016, 52, 209-224

IZA Discussion Paper No. 9120

Do Wage Expectations Influence the Decision to Enroll in Nursing College?

Jürg Schweri, Joop Hartog

published as 'Do wage expectations predict college enrollment? Evidence from healthcare' in: Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 2017, 141, 135 - 150

IZA Discussion Paper No. 9009

Overconfident People Are More Exposed to "Black Swan" Events: A Case Study of Avalanche Risk

Nicolao Bonini, Stefania Pighin, Enrico Rettore, Lucia Savadori, Federico Schena, Sara Tonini, Paolo Tosi

published in: Empirical Economics, 2019, 57 (4), 1443 - 1467

IZA Discussion Paper No. 8934

Game, Set, and Match: Do Women and Men Perform Differently in Competitive Situations?

Michael Jetter, Jay K. Walker

published in: Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 2015, 119, 96-108

IZA Discussion Paper No. 8858

Biased Beliefs and Imperfect Information

Eugenio Proto, Daniel Sgroi

published in: Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2017, 136, 186 - 2020

IZA Discussion Paper No. 8658

Individual Survival Curves Comparing Subjective and Observed Mortality Risks

Luc Bissonnette, Michael D. Hurd, Pierre-Carl Michaud

published in: Health Economics, 2017, 26 (12), e285-e303

IZA Discussion Paper No. 8639

Randomizing Endowments: An Experimental Study of Rational Expectations and Reference-Dependent Preferences

Lorenz Götte, Annette Cerulli-Harms, Charles Sprenger

published in: American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, 2019, 11 (1), 185–207)

IZA Discussion Paper No. 8536

House Price Expectations

Geng Niu, Arthur van Soest

IZA Discussion Paper No. 7604

Unmet Aspirations as an Explanation for the Age U-shape in Human Wellbeing

Hannes Schwandt

published in: Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 2016, 122, 75-87

IZA Discussion Paper No. 7579

Preferences and Biases in Educational Choices and Labor Market Expectations: Shrinking the Black Box of Gender

Ernesto Reuben, Matthew Wiswall, Basit Zafar

published in: Economic Journal, 2017, 127, 2153-2186

IZA Discussion Paper No. 7430

Economic Consequences of Mispredicting Utility

Bruno S. Frey, Alois Stutzer

published in: Journal of Happiness Studies, 2014, 15(4), 937-956

IZA Discussion Paper No. 7372

Correlation Neglect in Belief Formation

Benjamin Enke, Florian Zimmermann

published in: Review of Economic Studies, 2019, 86 (1), 313–33

IZA Discussion Paper No. 7322

Groupthink: Collective Delusions in Organizations and Markets

Roland Benabou

published in: Review of Economic Studies, 2013, 80 (2), 429-462

IZA Discussion Paper No. 7265

Does Everyone Use Probabilities? Intuitive and Rational Decisions about Stockholding

Johannes Binswanger, Martin Salm

revised version published as 'Does everyone use probabilities? The role of cognitive skills' in: European Economic Review, 2017, 98, 73-85

IZA Discussion Paper No. 6947

Gender, Risk and Venture Creation Intentions

Christopher Dawson, Andrew Henley

published in: Journal of Small Business Management, 2015, 53(2), 501-515

IZA Discussion Paper No. 6922

To See Is To Believe: Common Expectations in Experimental Asset Markets

Stephen L. Cheung, Morten Hedegaard, Stefan Palan

revised version published in: European Economic Review, 2014, 66, 84-96

IZA Discussion Paper No. 6844

Entrepreneurship: Cause or Consequence of Financial Optimism?

Christopher Dawson, David Emmanuel de Meza, Andrew Henley, Reza Arabsheibani

published in: Journal of Economics and Management Strategy, 2014, 23(4), 717–742

IZA Discussion Paper No. 6325

Announcing an Increase in the State Pension Age and the Recession: Which Mattered More for Expected Retirement Ages?

Alan Barrett, Irene Mosca

published as 'Increasing the State Pension Age, the Recession and Expected Retirement Ages' in: Economic and Social Review 2013, 44 (4), 447-472

IZA Discussion Paper No. 5957

Learning about a Class of Belief-Dependent Preferences without Information on Beliefs

Charles Bellemare, Alexander Sebald

IZA Discussion Paper No. 5759

The Future of Retirement and the Pension System: How the Public's Expectations Vary over Time and across Socio-Economic Groups

Luc Bissonnette, Arthur van Soest

published in: IZA Journal of European Labor Studies, 2012, 1:2

IZA Discussion Paper No. 5485

The Threat Effect of Participation in Active Labor Market Programs on Job Search Behavior of Migrants in Germany

Annette Bergemann, Marco Caliendo, Gerard J. van den Berg, Klaus F. Zimmermann

published in: International Journal of Manpower, 2011, 32 (7), 777-795

IZA Discussion Paper No. 5481

Which Institutions Encourage Entrepreneurs to Create Larger Firms?

Saul Estrin, Julia Korosteleva, Tomasz Mickiewicz

published in: Journal of Business Venturing, 2013, 28 (4), 564–580

IZA Discussion Paper No. 5379

Determinanten des Suchverhaltens von Arbeitslosen: Ausgewählte Erkenntnisse basierend auf dem IZA Evaluationsdatensatz

Marco Caliendo, Arne Uhlendorff

published in: Zeitschrift für ArbeitsmarktForschung / Journal for Labour Market Research, 2011, 44 (1-2), 119-125

IZA Discussion Paper No. 5272

Nonresponse and Focal Point Answers to Subjective Probability Questions

Kristin J. Kleinjans, Arthur van Soest

published as 'Rounding, Focal Point Answers and Nonresponse to Subjective Probability Questions' in: Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2014, 29 (4), 567 - 585

IZA Discussion Paper No. 4803

Measuring the Willingness to Pay to Avoid Guilt: Estimation Using Equilibrium and Stated Belief Models

Charles Bellemare, Alexander Sebald, Martin Strobel

published in: Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2011, 26 (3), 437-453

IZA Discussion Paper No. 4709

Beliefs and Actions in the Trust Game: Creating Instrumental Variables to Estimate the Causal Effect

Miguel A. Costa-Gomes, Steffen Huck, Georg Weizsäcker

IZA Discussion Paper No. 4396

Better Means More: Property Rights and High-Growth Aspiration Entrepreneurship

Saul Estrin, Julia Korosteleva, Tomasz Mickiewicz

substantially revised and rewritten version available as IZA DP No. 5481

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