The IZA Discussion Paper Series (ISSN: 2365-9793) disseminates high-quality research by IZA network members to the scientific community and the interested public worldwide before they are later published in academic journals. Comprising more than 17,000 papers, IZA's publication flagship is the most influential working paper series in labor economics.

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123 IZA Discussion Papers
IZA Discussion Paper No. 18225
Beliefs about Bots: How Employers Plan for AI in White-Collar Work
Eduard Brüll, Samuel Mäurer, Davud Rostam-Afschar
IZA Discussion Paper No. 18205
The Demand for Economic Narratives
Sebastian Blesse, Klaus Gruendler, Philipp Heil, Henning Hermes
IZA Discussion Paper No. 17921
The Managerial Labor Market and Gender Gaps in Beliefs About Own Ability
Tor Eriksson, Nina Smith
IZA Discussion Paper No. 17919
Inflation, Expectations and Monetary Policy: What Have We Learned and to What End?
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko
IZA Discussion Paper No. 17770
Homeownership and Attention to Inflation: Evidence from Information Treatments
Jessica Piccolo, Yuriy Gorodnichenko
IZA Discussion Paper No. 17695
How Inheritance Expectations Impact Household Savings
Ignacio Belloc, José Alberto Molina
IZA Discussion Paper No. 17317
The Causal Effects of Inflation Uncertainty on Households' Beliefs and Actions
Dimitris Georgarakos, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Olivier Coibion, Geoff Kenny
IZA Discussion Paper No. 17278
The Perceived Impact of Immigration on Native Workers' Labour Market Outcomes
Bernd Hayo, Duncan H.W. Roth
published in: European Journal of Political Economy, 2024, 85, 102610
IZA Discussion Paper No. 17269
Inflation and Wage Expectations of Firms and Employees
Lukas Buchheim, Sebastian Link, Sascha Möhrle
IZA Discussion Paper No. 17198
The Accuracy of Job Seekers' Wage Expectations
Marco Caliendo, Robert Mahlstedt, Aiko Schmeißer, Sophie Wagner
IZA Discussion Paper No. 17174
Identification of Ex Ante Returns Using Elicited Choice Probabilities: An Application to Preferences for Public-Sector Jobs
Romuald Meango, Esther Mirjam Girsberger
IZA Discussion Paper No. 17120
Higher-Order Beliefs and Risky Asset Holdings
Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Xiao Yin
IZA Discussion Paper No. 17043
Can Price Controls Be Optimal? The Economics of the Energy Shock in Germany
Tom Krebs, Isabella Weber
IZA Discussion Paper No. 16821
Alternative Models of Preference Heterogeneity for Elicited Choice Probabilities
Nathan Kettlewell, Matthew J. Walker, Hong Il Yoo
IZA Discussion Paper No. 16524
Labor Market News and Expectations about Jobs & Earnings
Bernhard Schmidpeter
IZA Discussion Paper No. 16478
Navigating Ambiguity: Imprecise Probabilities and the Updating of Disease Risk Beliefs
Jason Kerwin, Divya Pandey
IZA Discussion Paper No. 16417
What If It Never Happened? Subjective Treatment Effects of a Negative Shock on Youth Labour Market Outcomes in Developing Countries
Marta Favara, Richard Freund, Marcello Perez-Alvarez
IZA Discussion Paper No. 16228
When Death Was Postponed: The Effect of HIV Medication on Work, Savings, and Marriage
Mette Ejrnæs, Esteban García-Miralles, Mette Gørtz, Petter Lundborg
IZA Discussion Paper No. 16143
For Better or Worse? Subjective Expectations and Cost-Benefit Trade-Offs in Health Behavior
Gabriella Conti, Pamela Giustinelli
published in: Health Economics, 2025, 34, 992 - 1012
IZA Discussion Paper No. 16106
Inflation Expectations and Misallocation of Resources: Evidence from Italy
Tiziano Ropele, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Olivier Coibion
published in: American Economic Review: Insights, 2024, 6 (2), 246–261
IZA Discussion Paper No. 16035
Seeking Shelter in Times of Crisis? Unemployment, Perceived Job Insecurity and Trade Union Membership
Adrian Chadi, Laszlo Goerke
published in: Economica, 2023, 90 (359), 1041-1088
IZA Discussion Paper No. 16013
Workers' Perceptions of Earnings Growth and Employment Risk
Gizem Koşar, Wilbert van der Klaauw
IZA Discussion Paper No. 15831
Forecasts: Consumption, Production, and Behavioral Responses
Husnain F. Ahmad, Matthew Gibson, Fatiq Nadeem, Sanval Nasim, Arman Rezaee
IZA Discussion Paper No. 15682
Motivated Belief Updating and Rationalization of Information
Christoph Drobner, Sebastian J. Goerg
IZA Discussion Paper No. 15495
Homeownership and the Perception of Material Security in Old Age
Claudius Garten, Michal Myck, Monika Oczkowska
published in: Applied Economics, 2025, 57 (33), 4988 - 5000
IZA Discussion Paper No. 15440
Finance, Informal Competition, and Expectations: A Firm-Level Analysis
Emanuele Brancati, Michele Di Maio, Aminur Rahman
published in: World Development, 2024, 173, 106408
IZA Discussion Paper No. 15281
Gender Gaps in Early Wage Expectations
Andreas Leibing, Frauke Peter, Sevrin Waights, C. Katharina Spieß
published in: Economics of Education Review, 2023, 94, 102398
IZA Discussion Paper No. 15090
Information Frictions among Firms and Households
Sebastian Link, Andreas Peichl, Christopher Roth, Johannes Wohlfart
published in: Journal of Monetary Economics, 2023,135, 99-115
IZA Discussion Paper No. 15040
House Price Expectations
Niklas Gohl, Peter Haan, Claus Michelsen, Felix Weinhardt
published in: Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 2024, 218, 379-398
IZA Discussion Paper No. 15018
Skewness Expectations and Portfolio Choice
Tilman Drerup, Matthias Wibral, Christian Zimpelmann
published in: Experimental Economics, 2023, 26, 107 - 144
IZA Discussion Paper No. 14889
R&D Plans, Expectations, and Uncertainty: Evidence from the COVID-19 Shock in Italy
Emanuele Brancati
published in: Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 2023, 67, 303-318
IZA Discussion Paper No. 14149
Temporary Overpessimism: Job Loss Expectations Following a Large Negative Employment Shock
Julian Emmler, Bernd Fitzenberger
published in: Economics of Transition and Institutional Change, 2022, 30 (3), 621 - 661
IZA Discussion Paper No. 14114
Fiscal Policy and Households' Inflation Expectations: Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Michael Weber
IZA Discussion Paper No. 13943
The Health-Wealth Trade-off during the COVID-19 Pandemic: Communication Matters
Vincenzo Carrieri, Maria De Paola, Francesca Gioia
published in: PLoS ONE, 2021,16 (9), e0256103.
IZA Discussion Paper No. 13823
Political Polarization and Expected Economic Outcomes
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Michael Weber
IZA Discussion Paper No. 13821
Reverse Bayesianism: Revising Beliefs in Light of Unforeseen Events
Christoph K. Becker, Tigran Melkonyan, Eugenio Proto, Andis Sofianos, Stefan T. Trautmann
IZA Discussion Paper No. 13807
Higher Education Financing and the Educational Aspirations of Teenagers and their Parents
Dan Anderberg, Arnaud Chevalier, Lena Hassani Nezhad, Melanie Lührmann, Ronni Pavan
published in: Economics of Education Review, 2021, 85, 102175
IZA Discussion Paper No. 13753
Framing the Predicted Impacts of COVID-19 Prophylactic Measures in Terms of Lives Saved Rather Than Deaths Is More Effective for Older People
Pietro Biroli, Steven J. Bosworth, Marina Della Giusta, Amalia Di Girolamo, Sylvia Jaworska, Jeremy Vollen
IZA Discussion Paper No. 13664
Exponential Growth Bias in the Prediction of COVID-19 Spread and Economic Expectation
Ritwik Banerjee, Priyama Majumdar
published in: Economicy, 2023, 90 (358), 653-689
IZA Discussion Paper No. 13517
Overconfidence and Gender Differences in Wage Expectations
Stephanie Briel, Aderonke Osikominu, Gregor Pfeifer, Mirjam Reutter, Sascha Satlukal
IZA Discussion Paper No. 13475
Biased Beliefs and Entry into Scientific Careers
Ina Ganguli, Patrick Gaule, Danijela Vuletić Čugalj
IZA Discussion Paper No. 13457
Sudden Stop: When Did Firms Anticipate the Potential Consequences of COVID-19?
Lukas Buchheim, Carla Krolage, Sebastian Link
published in: German Economic Review, 2022, 23 (1), 79-119
IZA Discussion Paper No. 13445
Subjective Expectations for Health Service Use and Consequences for Health Insurance Behavior
Nathan Kettlewell
published as 'The informational content of subjective expectations for health service use' in: BMC Health Services Research, 2021, 21, 464 (2021)
IZA Discussion Paper No. 13355
Does Policy Communication during COVID-19 Work?
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Michael Weber
IZA Discussion Paper No. 13253
Firm-level Expectations and Behavior in Response to the COVID-19 Crisis
Lukas Buchheim, Jonas Dovern, Carla Krolage, Sebastian Link
published as 'Sentiment and Firm Behavior During the COVID-19 Pandemic' in: Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2022, 195, 185 - 198
IZA Discussion Paper No. 13224
The Cost of the COVID-19 Crisis: Lockdowns, Macroeconomic Expectations, and Consumer Spending
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Michael Weber
IZA Discussion Paper No. 13139
Labor Markets during the COVID-19 Crisis: A Preliminary View
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Michael Weber
IZA Discussion Paper No. 13092
Compliance with COVID-19 Social-Distancing Measures in Italy: The Role of Expectations and Duration
Guglielmo Briscese, Nicola Lacetera, Mario Macis, Mirco Tonin
published as ' Expectations, reference points, and compliance with COVID-19 social distancing measures' in: Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics, 2023, 103, 101983
IZA Discussion Paper No. 13060
Why Do We Procrastinate? Present Bias and Optimism
Zachary Breig, Matthew Gibson, Jeffrey G. Shrader
IZA Discussion Paper No. 12979
Forward Guidance and Household Expectations
Olivier Coibion, Dimitris Georgarakos, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Michael Weber
published in: Journal of the European Economic Association, 2023, 21 (5), 2131–217
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