IZA Discussion Papers

published as 'The relationship between overweight and education revisited: a test of the selection hypothesis based on adolescents' educational aspirations' in: Public Health, 2023, 224, 237 - 243

IZA Discussion Paper No. 13664

Exponential Growth Bias in the Prediction of COVID-19 Spread and Economic Expectation

Ritwik Banerjee, Priyama Majumdar

published in: Economicy, 2023, 90 (358), 653-689

IZA Discussion Paper No. 13629

The Economic Effects of COVID-19 and Credit Constraints: Evidence from Italian Firms' Expectations and Plans

Pierluigi Balduzzi, Emanuele Brancati, Marco Brianti, Fabio Schiantarelli

IZA Discussion Paper No. 13604

How Did U.S. Consumers Use Their Stimulus Payments?

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Michael Weber

IZA Discussion Paper No. 13517

Overconfidence and Gender Differences in Wage Expectations

Stephanie Briel, Aderonke Osikominu, Gregor Pfeifer, Mirjam Reutter, Sascha Satlukal

IZA Discussion Paper No. 13457

Sudden Stop: When Did Firms Anticipate the Potential Consequences of COVID-19?

Lukas Buchheim, Carla Krolage, Sebastian Link

published in: German Economic Review, 2022, 23 (1), 79-119

IZA Discussion Paper No. 13445

Subjective Expectations for Health Service Use and Consequences for Health Insurance Behavior

Nathan Kettlewell

published as 'The informational content of subjective expectations for health service use' in: BMC Health Services Research, 2021, 21, 464 (2021)

IZA Discussion Paper No. 13368

The Effect of Business Cycle Expectations on the German Apprenticeship Market: Estimating the Impact of COVID-19

Samuel Mühlemann, Harald Pfeifer, Bernhard Wittek

published in: Empirical Research in Vocational Education and Training, 2020, 12, Article 8 (2020)

IZA Discussion Paper No. 13355

Does Policy Communication during COVID-19 Work?

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Michael Weber

IZA Discussion Paper No. 13253

Firm-level Expectations and Behavior in Response to the COVID-19 Crisis

Lukas Buchheim, Jonas Dovern, Carla Krolage, Sebastian Link

published as 'Sentiment and Firm Behavior During the COVID-19 Pandemic' in: Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2022, 195, 185 - 198

IZA Discussion Paper No. 13224

The Cost of the COVID-19 Crisis: Lockdowns, Macroeconomic Expectations, and Consumer Spending

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Michael Weber

IZA Discussion Paper No. 13158

Labour Supply in the Early Stages of the COVID-19 Pandemic: Empirical Evidence on Hours, Home Office, and Expectations

Hans-Martin von Gaudecker, Radost Holler, Lena Janys, Bettina M. Siflinger, Christian Zimpelmann

revised version (IZA DP 14382) published as 'Hours and income dynamics during the Covid-19 pandemic: The case of the Netherlands' in: Labour Economics, 2021, 73, 102055

IZA Discussion Paper No. 13092

Compliance with COVID-19 Social-Distancing Measures in Italy: The Role of Expectations and Duration

Guglielmo Briscese, Nicola Lacetera, Mario Macis, Mirco Tonin

published as ' Expectations, reference points, and compliance with COVID-19 social distancing measures' in: Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics, 2023, 103, 101983

IZA Discussion Paper No. 13056

Maternal Investments in Children: The Role of Expected Effort and Returns

Sonia R. Bhalotra, Adeline Delavande, Paulino Font Gilabert, Joanna Maselko

published in: Economic Journal, 2025, 135 (667), 712–747

IZA Discussion Paper No. 13023

Financial Expectations and Household Consumption: Does Middle Inflation Matter?

Sarah Brown, Mark N. Harris, Christopher Spencer, Karl Taylor

published in: Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2024, 56 (4), 741-768.

IZA Discussion Paper No. 12979

Forward Guidance and Household Expectations

Olivier Coibion, Dimitris Georgarakos, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Michael Weber

published in: Journal of the European Economic Association, 2023, 21 (5), 2131–217

IZA Discussion Paper No. 12979

Forward Guidance and Household Expectations

Olivier Coibion, Dimitris Georgarakos, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Michael Weber

published in: Journal of the European Economic Association, 2023, 21 (5), 2131–217

IZA Discussion Paper No. 12945

Self-Perceptions about Academic Achievement: Evidence from Mexico City

Matteo Bobba, Veronica Frisancho

published in: Journal of Econometrics, 2022, 231 (1), 58 - 73

IZA Discussion Paper No. 12832

The Effect of Parental Educational Expectations on Adolescent Subjective Well-Being and the Moderating Role of Perceived Academic Pressure: Longitudinal Evidence for China

Haiyang Lu, Peng Nie, Alfonso Sousa-Poza

published in: Child Indicators Research, 2021, 14, 117–137.

IZA Discussion Paper No. 12735

Information Provision and Postgraduate Studies

Jan Berkes, Frauke Peter, C. Katharina Spieß, Felix Weinhardt

published in: Economica, 2022, 89 (355), 627-646.

IZA Discussion Paper No. 12604

Policy Uncertainty and Information Flows: Evidence from Pension Reform Expectations

Emanuele Ciani, Adeline Delavande, Ben Etheridge, Marco Francesconi

published in: Economic Journal, 2023, 133 (649), 98-129

IZA Discussion Paper No. 12553

Economic Polarization and Antisocial Behavior: An Experiment

Maria Bigoni, Stefania Bortolotti, Efşan Nas Özen

published in: Games and Economic Behavior, 2021, 126, 387 - 401

IZA Discussion Paper No. 12522

Gender Differences in Wage Expectations: Sorting, Children, and Negotiation Styles

Lukas Kiessling, Pia Pinger, Philipp K. Seegers, Jan Bergerhoff

published in: Labour Economics, 2024, 87, 12522

IZA Discussion Paper No. 12498

How Does Consumption Respond to News about Inflation? Field Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial

Olivier Coibion, Dimitris Georgarakos, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Maarten van Rooij

IZA Discussion Paper No. 12056

I Read the News Today, Oh Boy: The Effect of Crime News Coverage on Crime Perception and Trust

Daniel Velásquez, Santiago Medina, Gustavo Yamada, Pablo Lavado, Miguel Núñez, Hugo Alatrista, Juandiego Morzan

published in: World Development, 2020, 136, 105111

IZA Discussion Paper No. 12037

Inflation Expectations and Firm Decisions: New Causal Evidence

Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Tiziano Ropele

IZA Discussion Paper No. 11989

Rationalizing Rational Expectations? Tests and Deviations

Xavier D'Haultfoeuille, Christophe Gaillac, Arnaud Maurel

published in: Quantitative Economics, 2021, 12 (3), 817 - 842

IZA Discussion Paper No. 11989

Rationalizing Rational Expectations? Tests and Deviations

Xavier D'Haultfoeuille, Christophe Gaillac, Arnaud Maurel

published in: Quantitative Economics, 2021, 12 (3), 817 - 842

IZA Discussion Paper No. 11891

The Great Recession and Children's Mental Health in Australia

Melisa Bubonya, Deborah A. Cobb-Clark, Daniel Christensen, Sarah E. Johnson, Stephen R. Zubrick

published in: International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 2019, 16 (4), 537

IZA Discussion Paper No. 11321

Perceived Wages and the Gender Gap in STEM Fields

Aderonke Osikominu, Gregor Pfeifer

IZA Discussion Paper No. 10700

The Reliability of Students' Earnings Expectations

Luis Diaz-Serrano, William Nilsson

published in: Labor Economics, 2022, 76, 202182

IZA Discussion Paper No. 10406

Locus of Control and Investment in Training

Marco Caliendo, Deborah A. Cobb-Clark, Helke Seitz, Arne Uhlendorff

published in: Journal of Human Resources, 2022, 57(4), 1311-1349

IZA Discussion Paper No. 10165

Teacher Expectations Matter

Nicholas W. Papageorge, Seth Gershenson, Kyungmin Kang

published in: Review of Economics and Statistics, 2020, 102(2): 234-251.

IZA Discussion Paper No. 9592

Fear of Labor Rigidities: The Role of Expectations on Employment Growth in Peru

Pablo Lavado, Gustavo Yamada

published in: Latin American Research Review, 2023, 58 (4), 875-891.

IZA Discussion Paper No. 9478

Rank, Sex, Drugs, and Crime

Benjamin Elsner, Ingo E. Isphording

published in: Journal of Human Resources, 2018, 53(2), 356-381

IZA Discussion Paper No. 9445

Intended College Attendance: Evidence from an Experiment on College Returns and Cost

Zachary Bleemer, Basit Zafar

published in: Journal of Public Economics, 2018, 157, 184-211

IZA Discussion Paper No. 9444

Personal Experiences and Expectations about Aggregate Outcomes

Theresa Kuchler, Basit Zafar

published in: Journal of Finance, 2019, 74 (5), 2491-2542

IZA Discussion Paper No. 9301

The Great Expectations: Impact of One-Child Policy on Education of Girls

Wei Huang, Xiaoyan Lei, Ang Sun

published as 'Fertility Restrictions and Life Cycle Outcomes: Evidence from the One-Child Policy in China' in: Review of Economics and Statistics, 2021, 103 (4), 695 - 710

IZA Discussion Paper No. 9242

The Power of (Non) Positive Thinking: Self-Employed Pessimists Earn More than Optimists

Christopher Dawson, David Emmanuel de Meza, Andrew Henley, Reza Arabsheibani

published as 'Curb your enthusiasm: Optimistic entrepreneurs earn less' in: European Economic Review, 2019, 111, 53 - 69

IZA Discussion Paper No. 9202

Who Believes in Me? The Effect of Student-Teacher Demographic Match on Teacher Expectations

Seth Gershenson, Stephen B. Holt, Nicholas W. Papageorge

published in: Economics of Education Review, 2016, 52, 209-224

IZA Discussion Paper No. 9120

Do Wage Expectations Influence the Decision to Enroll in Nursing College?

Jürg Schweri, Joop Hartog

published as 'Do wage expectations predict college enrollment? Evidence from healthcare' in: Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 2017, 141, 135 - 150

IZA Discussion Paper No. 8639

Randomizing Endowments: An Experimental Study of Rational Expectations and Reference-Dependent Preferences

Lorenz Götte, Annette Cerulli-Harms, Charles Sprenger

published in: American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, 2019, 11 (1), 185–207)

IZA Discussion Paper No. 8639

Randomizing Endowments: An Experimental Study of Rational Expectations and Reference-Dependent Preferences

Lorenz Götte, Annette Cerulli-Harms, Charles Sprenger

published in: American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, 2019, 11 (1), 185–207)

IZA Discussion Paper No. 8549

Recovering Ex Ante Returns and Preferences for Occupations using Subjective Expectations Data

Peter Arcidiacono, V. Joseph Hotz, Arnaud Maurel, Teresa Romano

published in: Journal of Political Economy, 2020, 128 (12), 4475 - 4522