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IZA Discussion Papers

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The IZA Discussion Paper Series (ISSN: 2365-9793) disseminates high-quality research by IZA network members to the scientific community and the interested public worldwide before they are later published in academic journals. Comprising more than 17,000 papers, IZA's publication flagship is the most influential working paper series in labor economics.

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153 IZA Discussion Papers
IZA Discussion Paper No. 17919
Inflation, Expectations and Monetary Policy: What Have We Learned and to What End?
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko
IZA Discussion Paper No. 17919
Inflation, Expectations and Monetary Policy: What Have We Learned and to What End?
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko
IZA Discussion Paper No. 17770
Homeownership and Attention to Inflation: Evidence from Information Treatments
Jessica Piccolo, Yuriy Gorodnichenko
IZA Discussion Paper No. 17720
Earnings Expectations of “First-in-Family” University Students and Their Role for Major Choice
Katharina Adler, Fabian Kosse, Markus Nagler, Johannes Rincke
IZA Discussion Paper No. 17695
How Inheritance Expectations Impact Household Savings
Ignacio Belloc, José Alberto Molina
IZA Discussion Paper No. 17493
Are Men's Preferences for Couple Equity Misperceived? Evidence from Six Countries
Teodora Boneva, Ana Brás-Monteiro, Marta Golin, Christopher Rauh
IZA Discussion Paper No. 17317
The Causal Effects of Inflation Uncertainty on Households' Beliefs and Actions
Dimitris Georgarakos, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Olivier Coibion, Geoff Kenny
IZA Discussion Paper No. 17269
Inflation and Wage Expectations of Firms and Employees
Lukas Buchheim, Sebastian Link, Sascha Möhrle
IZA Discussion Paper No. 17198
The Accuracy of Job Seekers' Wage Expectations
Marco Caliendo, Robert Mahlstedt, Aiko Schmeißer, Sophie Wagner
IZA Discussion Paper No. 17174
Identification of Ex Ante Returns Using Elicited Choice Probabilities: An Application to Preferences for Public-Sector Jobs
Romuald Meango, Esther Mirjam Girsberger
IZA Discussion Paper No. 17120
Higher-Order Beliefs and Risky Asset Holdings
Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Xiao Yin
IZA Discussion Paper No. 17015
SAFE to Update Inflation Expectations? New Survey Evidence on Euro Area Firms
Ursel Baumann, Annalisa Ferrando, Dimitris Georgarakos, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Timo Reinelt
IZA Discussion Paper No. 16995
Biological, Behavioural and Spurious Selection on the Kidney Transplant Waitlist
Stephen Kastoryano
IZA Discussion Paper No. 16687
Automatability of Occupations, Workers' Labor-Market Expectations, and Willingness to Train
Philipp Lergetporer, Katharina Wedel, Katharina Werner
IZA Discussion Paper No. 16524
Labor Market News and Expectations about Jobs & Earnings
Bernhard Schmidpeter
IZA Discussion Paper No. 16426
Predicting Re-Employment: Machine Learning versus Assessments by Unemployed Workers and by Their Caseworkers
Gerard J. van den Berg, Max Kunaschk, Julia Lang, Gesine Stephan, Arne Uhlendorff
IZA Discussion Paper No. 16355
Were COVID and the Great Recession Well-Being Reducing?
David G. Blanchflower, Alex Bryson
published in: PloS ONE, 2024, 19 (11), e0305347
IZA Discussion Paper No. 16334
Information and the Formation of Inflation Expectations by Firms: Evidence from a Survey of Israeli Firms
Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Rafi Melnick, Ari Kutai
IZA Discussion Paper No. 16305
Tell Me Something I Don't Already Know: Learning in Low and High-Inflation Settings
Michael Weber, Bernardo Candia, Tiziano Ropele, Rodrigo Lluberas, Serafin Frache, Brent Meyer, Saten Kumar, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Dimitris Georgarakos, Olivier Coibion, Geoff Kenny, Jorge Ponce
IZA Discussion Paper No. 16168
Perceived Ability and School Choices: Experimental Evidence and Scale-up Effects
Matteo Bobba, Veronica Frisancho, Marco Pariguana
this paper is an updated version of IZA DP No. 10360 (2016).
IZA Discussion Paper No. 16106
Inflation Expectations and Misallocation of Resources: Evidence from Italy
Tiziano Ropele, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Olivier Coibion
published in: American Economic Review: Insights, 2024, 6 (2), 246–261
IZA Discussion Paper No. 16013
Workers' Perceptions of Earnings Growth and Employment Risk
Gizem Koşar, Wilbert van der Klaauw
IZA Discussion Paper No. 16006
Social Norms and Female Labor Force Participation in Bangladesh: The Role of Social Expectations and Reference Networks
Luna Bellani, Kumar Biswas, Sebastian Fehrler, Paul Marx, Shwetlena Sabarwal, Syed Rashed Al-Zayed Josh
IZA Discussion Paper No. 15905
Labour Market Expectations and Unemployment in Europe
David G. Blanchflower, Alex Bryson
IZA Discussion Paper No. 15788
Beliefs about Maternal Labor Supply
Teodora Boneva, Marta Golin, Katja Maria Kaufmann, Christopher Rauh
IZA Discussion Paper No. 15710
Investment and Subjective Uncertainty
Nicholas Bloom, Steven J. Davis, Lucia Foster, Scott Ohlmacher, Itay Saporta-Eksten
published as '2020 Klein Lecture—Investment and Subjective Uncertainty' in: International Economic Review, 2024, 65 (4), 1591 - 1606
IZA Discussion Paper No. 15614
Inflation Expectations and Corporate Borrowing Decisions: New Causal Evidence
Tiziano Ropele, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Olivier Coibion
published in: European Journal of Political Economy, 2023, 77, 102316
IZA Discussion Paper No. 15495
Homeownership and the Perception of Material Security in Old Age
Claudius Garten, Michal Myck, Monika Oczkowska
published online in: Applied Economics, 12 June 2024
IZA Discussion Paper No. 15493
Too Healthy to Fall Sick? Longevity Expectations and Protective Health Behaviours during the First Wave of COVID-19
Martina Celidoni, Joan Costa-Font, Luca Salmasi
published in: Journal of Economic Behaviour and Organisation, 2022, 202, 733 - 745
IZA Discussion Paper No. 15443
Consumption Choices and Earnings Expectations: Empirical Evidence and Structural Estimation
Christian A. Stoltenberg, Arne Uhlendorff
IZA Discussion Paper No. 15440
Finance, Informal Competition, and Expectations: A Firm-Level Analysis
Emanuele Brancati, Michele Di Maio, Aminur Rahman
published in: World Development, 2024, 173, 106408
IZA Discussion Paper No. 15385
The Shift to Remote Work Lessens Wage-Growth Pressures
José María Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, Steven J. Davis, Brent Meyer, Emil Mihaylov
IZA Discussion Paper No. 15375
Price Expectations and Reference-Dependent Preferences
Robert Rutledge, Vinayak Alladi, Stephen L. Cheung
revised version published in: Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 2025, 231, 106927
IZA Discussion Paper No. 15314
Regime and Treatment Effects in Duration Models: Decomposing Expectation and Transplant Effects on the Kidney Waitlist
Stephen Kastoryano
IZA Discussion Paper No. 15298
Terrorism, Media Coverage and Education: Evidence from Al-Shabaab Attacks in Kenya
Marco Alfano, Joseph-Simon Goerlach
published in: Journal of the European Economic Association, 2023, 21 (2), 727–763
IZA Discussion Paper No. 15281
Gender Gaps in Early Wage Expectations
Andreas Leibing, Frauke Peter, Sevrin Waights, C. Katharina Spieß
published in: Economics of Education Review, 2023, 94, 102398
IZA Discussion Paper No. 15229
Pandemic-Era Uncertainty
Brent Meyer, Emil Mihaylov, José María Barrero, Steven J. Davis, David Altig, Nicholas Bloom
published in: Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 2022, 15 (8), 338
IZA Discussion Paper No. 15090
Information Frictions among Firms and Households
Sebastian Link, Andreas Peichl, Christopher Roth, Johannes Wohlfart
published in: Journal of Monetary Economics, 2023,135, 99-115
IZA Discussion Paper No. 15069
Firms' Inflation Expectations: New Evidence from France
Frédérique Savignac, Erwan Gautier, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Olivier Coibion
pubished in: Journal of the European Economic Association, 2024, 22 (6), 2748–2781
IZA Discussion Paper No. 15040
House Price Expectations
Niklas Gohl, Peter Haan, Claus Michelsen, Felix Weinhardt
published in: Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 2024, 218, 379-398
IZA Discussion Paper No. 15027
The Expected, Perceived, and Realized Inflation of U.S. Households before and during the COVID-19 Pandemic
Michael Weber, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Olivier Coibion
IZA Discussion Paper No. 15018
Skewness Expectations and Portfolio Choice
Tilman Drerup, Matthias Wibral, Christian Zimpelmann
published in: Experimental Economics, 2023, 26, 107 - 144
IZA Discussion Paper No. 14889
R&D Plans, Expectations, and Uncertainty: Evidence from the COVID-19 Shock in Italy
Emanuele Brancati
published in: Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 2023, 67, 303-318
IZA Discussion Paper No. 14876
Biased Survival Expectations and Behaviours: Does Domain Specific Information Matter?
Joan Costa-Font, Cristina Vilaplana-Prieto
published in: Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 2022, 65, 285 - 317
IZA Discussion Paper No. 14876
Biased Survival Expectations and Behaviours: Does Domain Specific Information Matter?
Joan Costa-Font, Cristina Vilaplana-Prieto
published in: Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 2022, 65, 285 - 317
IZA Discussion Paper No. 14876
Biased Survival Expectations and Behaviours: Does Domain Specific Information Matter?
Joan Costa-Font, Cristina Vilaplana-Prieto
published in: Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 2022, 65, 285 - 317
IZA Discussion Paper No. 14853
Zero Lower Bound on Inflation Expectations
Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Dmitriy Sergeyev
IZA Discussion Paper No. 14800
The Origins of Gender Differences in Competitiveness and Earnings Expectations: Causal Evidence from a Mentoring Intervention
Teodora Boneva, Thomas Buser, Armin Falk, Fabian Kosse
IZA Discussion Paper No. 14419
The Global COVID-19 Student Survey: First Wave Results
David A. Jaeger, Jaime Arellano-Bover, Krzysztof Karbownik, Marta Martínez Matute, John M. Nunley, R. Alan Seals Jr., Miguel Almunia, Mackenzie Alston, Sascha O. Becker, Pilar Beneito, René Böheim, José E. Boscá, Jessica H. Brown, Simon Chang, Deborah A. Cobb-Clark, Shooshan Danagoulian, Sandra Donnally, Marissa Eckrote-Nordland, Lídia Farré, Javier Ferri, Margherita Fort, Jane Cooley Fruewirth, Rebecca Gelding, Allen C. Goodman, Melanie Guldi, Simone Häckl, Janet Hankin, Scott A. Imberman, Joanna Lahey, Joan Llull, Hani Mansour, Isaac McFarlin, Jaakko Meriläinen, Tove Mortlund, Martin Nybom, Stephen D. O'Connell, Rupert Sausgruber, Amy Schwartz, Jan Stuhler, Petra Thiemann, Roel van Veldhuizen, Marianne H. Wanamaker, Maria Zhu
published in: Covid Economics, 2021, 79, 152-217
IZA Discussion Paper No. 14378
The Inflation Expectations of U.S. Firms: Evidence from a New Survey
Bernardo Candia, Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko
published in: Journal of Monetary Economics, 2024, 145 (S), 103569
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