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IZA Discussion Paper No. 18565
April 2026
Job Transformation, Specialization, and the Labor Market Effects of AI
Lukas Freund, Lukas Mann

A central effect of automation is to transform jobs - shifting their task content. We develop a general-equilibrium model of this process. Occupations bundle tasks; workers possess task-specific skills and sort by comparative advantage. When a task is automated, remaining tasks gain in importance, so wage effects depend on workers’ full skill profiles. We estimate the distribution of task-specific skills and project individual-level wage effects of generative AI automation. Moderate exposure benefits workers on average but high exposure harms them, with large dispersion within occupations; the return to social skills rises, that to analytical skills falls; and low-earners gain more than high-earners. Job transformation drives these results.

Kommunikation
Mark Fallak
mark.fallak@liser.lu
+352 585-855-526
World of Labour
Olga Nottmeyer
olga.nottmeyer-ext@liser.lu
+352 585-855-501
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Christina Gathmann
christina.gathmann@liser.lu

Das IZA@LISER-Netzwerk ist eine weltweite Gemeinschaft für exzellente Forschung in der Arbeitsmarktökonomie und angrenzenden Fachgebieten. Nach dem Wechsel von Bonn wird das Netzwerk nun am Luxembourg Institute of Socio-Economic Research (LISER) koordiniert.

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