June 2021

IZA DP No. 14460: A Political Economy and Voicing Model of the Institutional Impact of Brain Drain, Human Capital, Inequality and Country Size

Brain drain BD, human capital h, and inequality's institutional impact is examined in a model where a rent-seeking elite taxes residents and voicing affects the likelihood of regime change. We find that BD and h's impact on institutional quality (Q) are as follows: i) Q is a U-shaped function of BD, with maximum (minimum) at BD = 0 (0 < BD1 < 1); ii) Q is a U-shaped function of h, with minimum at 0 < h1 < 1; iii) the likelihood that Q improves with BD falls with international inequality; iv) the likelihood that Q improves with h falls with domestic inequality; v) the likelihood Q improves with h falls (rises) with BD for BD < (>) BD1, and is maximized at BD = 0; vi) Q increases in a high (low) BD country under a host country's immigration promotion (restriction); vii) a high BD country's institutions improve (worsen) under a large (small) reduction in BD; viii) the latter is particularly relevant for small and micro states where BD and Q are likely to be greater than in large but otherwise similar countries.