published in: Educational Evaluation and Policy Analysis, 2004, 26 (1), 111-125
Our paper analyzes historical data for New York State on the percentage of school board
budget proposals that are defeated each year and panel data that we collected for individual
school districts in the state. We find that changes in state aid have little impact on budget
vote success. Defeating a budget in one year increases the likelihood that the voters will
defeat a budget in the next year. Finally, districts have a larger probability of having their
budget proposals defeated when their school board members have longer terms.
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