March 2023

IZA DP No. 16031: The Impact of a Minimum Wage Increase on Hours Worked: Heterogeneous Effects by Gender and Sector

A minimum wage increase could lead to adverse employment effects for certain sub-groups of minimum wage workers, while leaving others unaffected. This heterogeneity could be overlooked in studies that examine the overall population of minimum wage workers. In this paper, we test for heterogeneous effects of a minimum wage increase on the hours worked of minimum wage employees in Ireland. For all minimum wage workers, we find that a ten percent increase in the minimum wage leads to a one-hour reduction in weekly hours worked, equating to an hours elasticity of approximately -0.3. However, for industry workers and those in the accommodation and food sector, the impact is larger, with an elasticity of -0.8. We also find a negative impact on the hours worked among men on minimum wage, with no significant effect for women. In line with suggestions from the recent literature, our study uses administrative wage data to accurately identify those in receipt of minimum wage, while also studying the dynamic impact on hours worked over multiple time periods using a fully flexible difference-in-differences estimator.