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IZA Discussion Paper No. 16053
April 2023
Risk Compensation after COVID-19 Vaccination
Jisoo Hwang, Seung-sik Hwang, Hyuncheol Bryant Kim, Jungmin Lee, Junseok Lee

updated version published as 'Risk compensation after COVID-19 vaccination: Evidence from vaccine rollout by exact birth date in South Korea' in: Health Economics, 2024, 33 (8), 1811 - 1830

This paper studies the causal impacts of vaccine eligibility on social distancing behaviors (risk compensation). We apply a regression discontinuity design around the birth date cutoff of vaccine eligibility using large, high-frequency data from credit card and airline companies as well as survey data. We find no evidence of risk compensation although vaccine take-up increases substantially with eligibility. We find some evidence of self-selection into vaccine take-up based on perception towards vaccine effectiveness and side effects, but we do not find that the treatment effects differ between compliers and never-takers.

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Olga Nottmeyer
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The IZA@LISER Network is a global community of scholars dedicated to excellence in labor economics and related fields, now coordinated at the Luxembourg Institute of Socio-Economic Research (LISER) following its transition from Bonn.

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