TY - RPRT AU - Heckman, James J. AU - Humphries, John Eric AU - Veramendi, Gregory TI - Returns to Education: The Causal Effects of Education on Earnings, Health and Smoking PY - 2016/May/ PB - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) CY - Bonn T2 - IZA Discussion Paper IS - 9957 UR - https://www.iza.org/publications/dp9957 AB - This paper estimates returns to education using a dynamic model of educational choice that synthesizes approaches in the structural dynamic discrete choice literature with approaches used in the reduced form treatment effect literature. It is an empirically robust middle ground between the two approaches which estimates economically interpretable and policy-relevant dynamic treatment effects that account for heterogeneity in cognitive and non-cognitive skills and the continuation values of educational choices. Graduating college is not a wise choice for all. Ability bias is a major component of observed educational differentials. For some, there are substantial causal effects of education at all stages of schooling. KW - causal effects of education KW - rates of return KW - health KW - earnings KW - education KW - cognitive skills KW - non-cognitive skills ER -