TY - RPRT AU - Riddell, Chris AU - Riddell, W. Craig TI - When Can Experimental Evidence Mislead? A Re-Assessment of Canada's Self Sufficiency Project PY - 2016/May/ PB - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) CY - Bonn T2 - IZA Discussion Paper IS - 9939 UR - https://www.iza.org/publications/dp9939 AB - The Self-Sufficiency Project was a well-known welfare-to-work experiment that provided a generous but time-limited financial incentive to leave welfare and enter the workforce. Experimental evidence showed large short-term impacts but no lasting effects. We argue that these conclusions need to be re-assessed. Policy changes implemented during the SSP implied the behavior of the control group did not provide an appropriate counterfactual. We estimate the impacts the financial incentive would have had in a stable policy environment. This re-assessment leads to significant changes in the lessons previously reached. Our study demonstrates that experimental findings need to be interpreted with care. KW - welfare-to-work policies KW - social experiments KW - Self-Sufficiency Project ER -