TY - RPRT AU - Clay, Karen AU - Lewis, Joshua AU - Severnini, Edson TI - Pollution, Infectious Disease, and Mortality: Evidence from the 1918 Spanish Influenza Pandemic PY - 2015/Oct/ PB - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) CY - Bonn T2 - IZA Discussion Paper IS - 9399 UR - https://www.iza.org/publications/dp9399 AB - This paper uses the 1918 influenza pandemic as a natural experiment to examine whether air pollution affects susceptibility to infectious disease. The empirical analysis combines the sharp timing of the pandemic with large cross-city differences in baseline pollution measures based on coal-fired electricity generating capacity for a sample 183 American cities. The findings suggest that air pollution exacerbated the impact of the pandemic. Proximity to World War I military bases and baseline city health conditions also contributed to pandemic severity. The effects of air pollution are quantitatively important. Had coal-fired capacity in above-median cities been reduced to the median level, 3,400-5,860 pandemic-related infant deaths and 15,575-23,686 pandemic-related all-age deaths would have been averted. These results highlight the complementarity between air pollution and infectious disease on health, and suggest that there may be large co-benefits associated with pollution abatement policies. KW - mortality KW - infectious disease KW - pollution KW - 1918 influenza pandemic ER -