TY - RPRT AU - Khanna, Gaurav AU - Zimmermann, Laura V TI - Guns and Butter? Fighting Violence with the Promise of Development PY - 2015/Jun/ PB - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) CY - Bonn T2 - IZA Discussion Paper IS - 9160 UR - https://www.iza.org/publications/dp9160 AB - There is growing awareness that development-oriented government policies may be an important counterinsurgency strategy, but existing papers are usually unable to disentangle various mechanisms. Using a regression-discontinuity design, we analyze the impact of one of the world's largest anti-poverty programs, India's NREGS, on the intensity of Maoist conflict. We find short-run increases of insurgency-related violence, police-initiated attacks, and insurgent attacks on civilians. We discuss how these results relate to established theories in the literature. The main mechanism consistent with the empirical patterns is that NREGS induces civilians to share more information with the state, improving police effectiveness. KW - public works program KW - National Rural Employment Guarantee Scheme KW - NREGA KW - NREGS KW - India KW - regression discontinuity design KW - terrorism KW - Naxalites KW - Maoists KW - conflict KW - insurgency KW - civil war ER -