TY - RPRT AU - Karanassou, Marika AU - Sala, Hector AU - Snower, Dennis J. TI - The European Phillips Curve: Does the NAIRU Exist? PY - 2003/Sep/ PB - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) CY - Bonn T2 - IZA Discussion Paper IS - 876 UR - https://www.iza.org/publications/dp876 AB - This paper has two aims. First, it provides simple theoretical models that highlight two channels whereby monetary shocks have permanent real effects and the interactions between these channels. Second, it presents an empirical dynamic model, covering a panel of EU countries, and derives the implied long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff. Our results suggest that the tradeoff is far from vertical. We also find that wage persistence plays a larger role than price persistence in generating the tradeoff, but that the two forms of persistence are complementary in giving monetary policy its long-run real effects. Our results call for a reassessment of the European macroeconomic experience. KW - inflation KW - Phillips curve KW - nominal inertia KW - monetary policy KW - business cycles KW - forward-looking expectations KW - unemployment KW - homogeneous dynamic panels KW - panel unit root tests ER -