TY - RPRT AU - Cai, Ruohong AU - Feng, Shuaizhang AU - Pytlikova, Mariola AU - Oppenheimer, Michael TI - Climate Variability and International Migration: The Importance of the Agricultural Linkage PY - 2014/May/ PB - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) CY - Bonn T2 - IZA Discussion Paper IS - 8183 UR - https://www.iza.org/publications/dp8183 AB - While there is considerable interest in understanding the climate-migration relationship, particularly in the context of concerns about global climatic change, little is known about underlying mechanisms. We analyze a unique and extensive set of panel data characterizing annual bilateral international migration flows from 163 origin countries to 42 OECD destination countries covering the last three decades. We find a positive and statistically significant relationship between temperature and international outmigration only in the most agriculture-dependent countries, consistent with the widely-documented adverse impact of temperature on agricultural productivity. In addition, migration flows to current major destinations are especially temperature-sensitive. Policies to address issues related to climate-induced international migration would be more effective if focused on the agriculture-dependent countries and especially people in those countries whose livelihoods depend on agriculture. KW - international migration KW - climate variability KW - agricultural productivity ER -