%0 Report %A Cai, Ruohong %A Feng, Shuaizhang %A Pytlikova, Mariola %A Oppenheimer, Michael %T Climate Variability and International Migration: The Importance of the Agricultural Linkage %D 2014 %8 2014 May %I Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) %C Bonn %7 IZA Discussion Paper %N 8183 %U https://www.iza.org/publications/dp8183 %X While there is considerable interest in understanding the climate-migration relationship, particularly in the context of concerns about global climatic change, little is known about underlying mechanisms. We analyze a unique and extensive set of panel data characterizing annual bilateral international migration flows from 163 origin countries to 42 OECD destination countries covering the last three decades. We find a positive and statistically significant relationship between temperature and international outmigration only in the most agriculture-dependent countries, consistent with the widely-documented adverse impact of temperature on agricultural productivity. In addition, migration flows to current major destinations are especially temperature-sensitive. Policies to address issues related to climate-induced international migration would be more effective if focused on the agriculture-dependent countries and especially people in those countries whose livelihoods depend on agriculture. %K international migration %K climate variability %K agricultural productivity