TY - RPRT AU - Batista, Catia AU - Potin, Jacques TI - Stages of Diversification in a Neoclassical World PY - 2013/Nov/ PB - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) CY - Bonn T2 - IZA Discussion Paper IS - 7765 UR - https://www.iza.org/publications/dp7765 AB - Recent research has documented a U-shaped industrial concentration curve over an economy's development path. How far can neoclassical trade theory take us in explaining this pattern? We estimate the production side of the Heckscher-Ohlin model using industry data on 44 developed and developing countries for the period 1976-2000. Decomposing the implied changes in industrial concentration over time shows that at least one third of these changes seems to be explained by a Rybczynski effect. This result suggests that capital accumulation led poor countries to diversify their industrial production, while rich countries made their production more concentrated in highly capital-intensive industries. KW - specialization KW - diversification KW - Heckscher-Ohlin KW - economic growth and international trade KW - industrial concentration KW - structural change ER -