%0 Report %A Schwandt, Hannes %T Unmet Aspirations as an Explanation for the Age U-shape in Human Wellbeing %D 2013 %8 2013 Aug %I Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) %C Bonn %7 IZA Discussion Paper %N 7604 %U https://www.iza.org/publications/dp7604 %X A large literature in behavioral and social sciences has found that human wellbeing follows a U-shape over age. Some theories have assumed that the U-shape is caused by unmet expectations that are felt painfully in midlife but beneficially abandoned and experienced with less regret during old age. In a unique panel of 132,609 life satisfaction expectations matched to subsequent realizations, I find people to err systematically in predicting their life satisfaction over the life cycle. They expect – incorrectly – increases in young adulthood and decreases during old age. These errors are large, ranging from 9.8% at age 21 to -4.5% at age 68, they are stable over time and observed across socio-economic groups. These findings support theories that unmet expectations drive the age U-shape in wellbeing. %K life satisfaction %K expectations %K aging