TY - RPRT AU - Bilkic, Natasa AU - Gries, Thomas AU - Naudé, Wim TI - The Radical Innovation Investment Decision Refined PY - 2013/Apr/ PB - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) CY - Bonn T2 - IZA Discussion Paper IS - 7338 UR - https://www.iza.org/publications/dp7338 AB - We refine modelling of the radical innovation decision in this paper by extending real option theory to include non-marginal stochastic jump processes. From the model analytics we determine that the average magnitude and frequency of non-marginal stochastic jump processes are the most important parameters in this highly uncertain decision process. We show that these stochastic shocks imply that investment in radical innovation may very often be too time consuming and/or expensive to remain attractive for private entrepreneurs. KW - radical innovation KW - innovation KW - entrepreneurship KW - investment KW - R&D KW - risk KW - real option theory KW - technology ER -