TY - RPRT AU - Entorf, Horst TI - Crime, Prosecutors, and the Certainty of Conviction PY - 2011/Apr/ PB - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) CY - Bonn T2 - IZA Discussion Paper IS - 5670 UR - https://www.iza.org/publications/dp5670 AB - This paper tests predictions of a structural, augmented supply-of-offenders model regarding the relative effects of police, public prosecution and courts, respectively, on crime. Using detailed data on the different stages of the criminal prosecution process in Germany, empirical evidence suggests that public prosecutors and their influence on the probability of conviction play a major role in explaining the variation of crime rates, while the impact of the severity of punishment is small and insignificant. KW - panel data KW - public prosecutors KW - certainty of punishment KW - general deterrence KW - informal punishment ER -