%0 Report %A Becker, Sascha O. %A Cinnirella, Francesco %A Woessmann, Ludger %T The Trade-off between Fertility and Education: Evidence from before the Demographic Transition %D 2009 %8 2009 Nov %I Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) %C Bonn %7 IZA Discussion Paper %N 4557 %U https://www.iza.org/publications/dp4557 %X The trade-off between child quantity and education is a crucial ingredient of unified growth models that explain the transition from Malthusian stagnation to modern growth. We present first evidence that such a trade-off indeed existed before the demographic transition, exploiting a unique census-based dataset of 334 Prussian counties in 1849. Estimating two separate instrumental-variable models that instrument education by landownership inequality and distance to Wittenberg and fertility by previous-generation fertility and sex-imbalance ratio, we find that causation between fertility and education runs both ways. Furthermore, education in 1849 predicts the fertility transition in 1880-1905. %K schooling %K 19th-century Prussia %K unified growth theory %K fertility transition