@TechReport{iza:izadps:dp4557, author={Becker, Sascha O. and Cinnirella, Francesco and Woessmann, Ludger}, title={The Trade-off between Fertility and Education: Evidence from before the Demographic Transition}, year={2009}, month={Nov}, institution={Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)}, address={Bonn}, type={IZA Discussion Paper}, number={4557}, url={https://www.iza.org/publications/dp4557}, abstract={The trade-off between child quantity and education is a crucial ingredient of unified growth models that explain the transition from Malthusian stagnation to modern growth. We present first evidence that such a trade-off indeed existed before the demographic transition, exploiting a unique census-based dataset of 334 Prussian counties in 1849. Estimating two separate instrumental-variable models that instrument education by landownership inequality and distance to Wittenberg and fertility by previous-generation fertility and sex-imbalance ratio, we find that causation between fertility and education runs both ways. Furthermore, education in 1849 predicts the fertility transition in 1880-1905.}, keywords={schooling;19th-century Prussia;unified growth theory;fertility transition}, }