TY  - RPRT
        AU  - Cockx, Bart
AU  - Picchio, Matteo
        TI  - Are Short-Lived Jobs Stepping Stones to Long-Lasting Jobs?
        PY  - 2009/Feb/
        PB  - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
        CY  - Bonn
        T2  - IZA Discussion Paper
        IS  - 4007
        UR  - https://www.iza.org/publications/dp4007
        AB  - This paper assesses whether short-lived jobs (lasting one quarter or less and involuntarily ending in unemployment) are stepping stones to long-lasting jobs (enduring one year or more) for Belgian long-term unemployed school-leavers. We proceed in two steps. First, we estimate labour market trajectories in a multi-spell duration model that incorporates lagged duration and lagged occurrence dependence. Second, in a simulation we find that (fe)male school-leavers accepting a short-lived job are, within two years, 13.4 (9.5) percentage points more likely to find a long-lasting job than in the counterfactual in which they reject short-lived jobs.
        KW  - stepping stone effect
KW  - long-lasting jobs
KW  - state dependence
KW  - event history model
KW  - transition data
KW  - short-lived jobs
        ER  -