@TechReport{iza:izadps:dp4007,
            	author={Cockx, Bart and Picchio, Matteo},
            	title={Are Short-Lived Jobs Stepping Stones to Long-Lasting Jobs?},
            	year={2009},
	month={Feb},
            	institution={Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)},
            	address={Bonn},
            	type={IZA Discussion Paper},
            	number={4007},
            	url={https://www.iza.org/publications/dp4007},
	abstract={This paper assesses whether short-lived jobs (lasting one quarter or less and involuntarily ending in unemployment) are stepping stones to long-lasting jobs (enduring one year or more) for Belgian long-term unemployed school-leavers. We proceed in two steps. First, we estimate labour market trajectories in a multi-spell duration model that incorporates lagged duration and lagged occurrence dependence. Second, in a simulation we find that (fe)male school-leavers accepting a short-lived job are, within two years, 13.4 (9.5) percentage points more likely to find a long-lasting job than in the counterfactual in which they reject short-lived jobs.},
	keywords={stepping stone effect;long-lasting jobs;state dependence;event history model;transition data;short-lived jobs},
            }