TY - RPRT AU - Goodall, Amanda H. AU - Kahn, Lawrence M. AU - Oswald, Andrew J. TI - Why Do Leaders Matter? The Role of Expert Knowledge PY - 2008/Jul/ PB - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) CY - Bonn T2 - IZA Discussion Paper IS - 3583 UR - https://www.iza.org/publications/dp3583 AB - Why do some leaders succeed while others fail? This question is important, but its complexity makes it hard to study systematically. We examine an industry in which there are well-defined objectives, small teams, and exact measures of leaders’ characteristics. We show that a strong predictor of a leader’s success in year T is that person’s own level of attainment, in the underlying activity, in approximately year T-20. Our data come from 15,000 professional basketball games. The effect on team performance of the coach’s ‘expert knowledge’ is large and is discernible in the data within 12 months of his being hired. KW - leadership KW - productivity KW - firms KW - organizational performance KW - fixed-effects ER -