TY - RPRT AU - Kluve, Jochen TI - On the Role of Counterfactuals in Inferring Causal Effects of Treatments PY - 2001/Sep/ PB - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) CY - Bonn T2 - IZA Discussion Paper IS - 354 UR - https://www.iza.org/publications/dp354 AB - Causal inference in the empirical sciences is based on counterfactuals. This paper presents the counterfactual account of causation in terms of Lewis’s possible-world semantics, and reformulates the statistical potential outcome framework and its underlying assumptions using counterfactual conditionals. I discuss varieties of causally meaningful counterfactuals for the case of a finite number of treatments, and illustrate these using a simple set-theoretical framework. The paper proceeds to examine proximity relations between possible worlds, and discusses implications for empirical practice. KW - treatment effect KW - possible worlds KW - counterfactuals KW - Causation ER -