TY - RPRT AU - Dohmen, Thomas AU - Falk, Armin AU - Huffman, David B. AU - Sunde, Uwe TI - Seemingly Irrelevant Events Affect Economic Perceptions and Expectations: The FIFA World Cup 2006 as a Natural Experiment PY - 2006/Aug/ PB - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) CY - Bonn T2 - IZA Discussion Paper IS - 2275 UR - https://www.iza.org/publications/dp2275 AB - Prominent economic theories have emphasized the role of commonly held perceptions and expectations for determining macroeconomic outcomes. A key empirical question is how such collectively held beliefs are formed. We use the FIFA World Cup 2006 as a natural experiment. We provide direct evidence that seemingly irrelevant events (the outcomes of soccer matches) can systematically affect individual perceptions about economic prospects, both on a personal and economy-wide level. KW - expectation formation KW - sunspots KW - soccer world cup KW - macroeconomic outcomes KW - psychology ER -