%0 Report %A Dohmen, Thomas %A Falk, Armin %A Huffman, David B. %A Sunde, Uwe %T Seemingly Irrelevant Events Affect Economic Perceptions and Expectations: The FIFA World Cup 2006 as a Natural Experiment %D 2006 %8 2006 Aug %I Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) %C Bonn %7 IZA Discussion Paper %N 2275 %U https://www.iza.org/publications/dp2275 %X Prominent economic theories have emphasized the role of commonly held perceptions and expectations for determining macroeconomic outcomes. A key empirical question is how such collectively held beliefs are formed. We use the FIFA World Cup 2006 as a natural experiment. We provide direct evidence that seemingly irrelevant events (the outcomes of soccer matches) can systematically affect individual perceptions about economic prospects, both on a personal and economy-wide level. %K expectation formation %K sunspots %K soccer world cup %K macroeconomic outcomes %K psychology