@TechReport{iza:izadps:dp2121, author={Fitzenberger, Bernd and Osikominu, Aderonke and Völter, Robert}, title={Get Training or Wait? Long-Run Employment Effects of Training Programs for the Unemployed in West Germany}, year={2006}, month={May}, institution={Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)}, address={Bonn}, type={IZA Discussion Paper}, number={2121}, url={https://www.iza.org/publications/dp2121}, abstract={Long-term public sector sponsored training programs often show little or negative short-run employment effects and often it is not possible to assess whether positive long-run effects exist. Based on unique administrative data, this paper estimates the long-run differential employment effects of three different types of training programs in West Germany. We use inflows into unemployment for the years 1986/87 and 1993/94 and apply local linear matching based on the estimated propensity score to estimate the effects of training programs starting during 1 to 2, 3 to 4, and 5 to 8 quarters of unemployment. The results show a negative lock-in effect for the period right after the beginning of the program and significantly positive treatment effects on employment rates in the medium- and long-run. The differential effects of the three programs compared to one another are mainly driven by differences in the length of the lock-in periods.}, keywords={administrative data;local linear matching;employment effects;training programs;multiple treatments;active labor market programs}, }