TY - RPRT AU - Snell, Andy AU - Almeida, Enzo AU - Martins, Pedro S. AU - Thomas, Jonathan P. TI - Minimum Wages and Worker Retention: The Roles of Labour Concentration and Employment Protection PY - 2026/Sep/ PB - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) CY - Bonn T2 - IZA Discussion Paper IS - 18914 UR - https://www.iza.org/publications/dp18914 AB - How are incumbent workers impacted by minimum wage increases? Is labour market concentration an important moderating factor? We address these questions by presenting a new model, drawing on comprehensive employer-employee matched panel data from Portugal, and considering individual mandated wage rises from both national and collectively bargained minimum wages. We find that employment protection plays a key role in these effects: workers under permanent contracts are almost completely insulated from the exit hazards associated with wage bites while workers in temporary (fixed-term) contracts are exposed to these hazards. Labour concentration can significantly reduce negative effects on temporary workers, by up to 60\%. A model of monopsonistic competition with firing costs rationalises these patterns. KW - minimum wages KW - collective bargaining KW - temporary contracts KW - labour market power ER -