%0 Report %A Snell, Andy %A Almeida, Enzo %A Martins, Pedro S. %A Thomas, Jonathan P. %T Minimum Wages and Worker Retention: The Roles of Labour Concentration and Employment Protection %D 2026 %8 2026 Sep %I Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) %C Bonn %7 IZA Discussion Paper %N 18914 %U https://www.iza.org/publications/dp18914 %X How are incumbent workers impacted by minimum wage increases? Is labour market concentration an important moderating factor? We address these questions by presenting a new model, drawing on comprehensive employer-employee matched panel data from Portugal, and considering individual mandated wage rises from both national and collectively bargained minimum wages. We find that employment protection plays a key role in these effects: workers under permanent contracts are almost completely insulated from the exit hazards associated with wage bites while workers in temporary (fixed-term) contracts are exposed to these hazards. Labour concentration can significantly reduce negative effects on temporary workers, by up to 60\%. A model of monopsonistic competition with firing costs rationalises these patterns. %K minimum wages %K collective bargaining %K temporary contracts %K labour market power