@TechReport{iza:izadps:dp18826, author={Cerina, Fabio and Dienesch, Elisa and Monge-Naranjo, Alex and Moro, Alessio}, title={The Anatomy of Polarization: Evidence from Worker Flows}, year={2026}, month={Jul}, institution={Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)}, address={Bonn}, type={IZA Discussion Paper}, number={18826}, url={https://www.iza.org/publications/dp18826}, abstract={Using a French administrative panel following workers over 1984-2021, we quantify how worker flows account for employment polarization. We trace job-to-job flows across manual, routine, and abstract occupations, and flows between employment and non-employment. Polarization emerges after 1994 mostly through a shift in the latter: a collapse in entry into routine jobs, concentrated in routine-cognitive occupations. Job-to-job upgrading from routine to abstract remains large and stable, with non-college workers accounting for 76% of net flows. Manual employment grows mainly by absorbing entrants. Polarization reflects sorting at entry and re-entry rather than incumbent displacement, motivating life-cycle models incorporating both margins.}, keywords={labor market polarization;worker flows;occupational mobility;routine-biased technological change;longitudinal data}, }