%0 Report
        %A Gehrsitz, Markus
%A Grant, Sam
%A McIntyre, Stuart
        %T From Custody to Community: Post-Release Supervision and Re-Offending
        %D 2026
        %8 2026 May
        %I Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
        %C Bonn
        %7 IZA Discussion Paper
        %N 18682
        %U https://www.iza.org/publications/dp18682
        %X Many criminal offenders are managed in the community. We combine a natural experiment with administrative data from England and Wales to assess a key community correctional policy: post-release supervision. We find that supervision reduces re-offending in the first four weeks after prison release by 15%, in part due to the incapacitation of prolific offenders who are recalled to prison for violations of their probation terms. Supervision also causes a 5.5% reduction in re-offending three years after release. This effect persistence, which is even stronger for first-time prisoners, suggests that post-release supervision is a cost-efficient way to induces genuine behavioural change.
        %K crime
%K re-offending
%K probation
%K supervision