TY  - RPRT
        AU  - Akgunduz, Yusuf Emre
AU  - Cilasun, Seyit Mumin
AU  - Deryol, Ahmet
AU  - Tumen, Semih
        TI  - Echoes of Hyperinflation: The Link Between past Exposure and Formation of Expectations
        PY  - 2026/Apr/
        PB  - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
        CY  - Bonn
        T2  - IZA Discussion Paper
        IS  - 18543
        UR  - https://www.iza.org/publications/dp18543
        AB  - This paper studies how lifetime inflation exposure shapes individuals’ inflation expectations, perceptions, and financial behavior. Using a large individual-level dataset from Türkiye spanning 2014 to 2024, combined with detailed measures of past inflation experiences, we show that individuals who have lived through higher inflation consistently report higher expected and perceived inflation. They also respond more strongly to current inflation conditions. The effects are larger for less educated and lower income individuals. In additional analysis, we find that greater lifetime inflation exposure is associated with higher use of retail loans, especially fixed rate loans. These results highlight the persistent influence of past economic conditions on expectation formation and household decisions in an emerging economy with a history of volatile inflation.
        KW  - inflation expectations
KW  - lifetime exposure
KW  - households
        ER  -