@TechReport{iza:izadps:dp18274, author={Bjerk, David J.}, title={Understanding IV Versus OLS Estimates of Treatment Effects and the Coefficient Difference Check}, year={2025}, month={Nov}, institution={Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)}, address={Bonn}, type={IZA Discussion Paper}, number={18274}, url={https://www.iza.org/publications/dp18274}, abstract={This article derives an equation characterizing the difference between OLS and IV coefficients under potentially heterogenous treatment effects. This leads to what I call the Coefficient Difference Check, which consists of checking that the difference between the estimated OLS and IV coefficients has the same sign as the expected selection effect. I show failures of this check can arise because: IV is invalid, the expected selection story is incorrect, or there are particular heterogenous treatment effects that imply the IV estimate is both “fragile” and that it provides a more biased estimate of the ATT than OLS. Failures of this check are relatively common in the literature. I describe best practices given such failures.}, keywords={adjudicator propensity to treat IV;judge fixed-effects;average treatment-on-the-treated;heterogenous treatment effects;selection;instrumental variables;examiner tendency IV;returns to schooling}, }