%0 Report %A Hellsten, Mark %A Khanna, Shantanu %A Lodefalk, Magnus %A Yakymovych, Yaroslav %T The Effects of Artificial Intelligence on Jobs: Evidence from an AI Subsidy Program %D 2025 %8 2025 Nov %I Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) %C Bonn %7 IZA Discussion Paper %N 18267 %U https://www.iza.org/publications/dp18267 %X Artificial intelligence (AI) is expected to reshape labor markets, yet causal evidence remains scarce. We exploit a novel Swedish subsidy program that encouraged small and mid-sized firms to adopt AI. Using a synthetic difference-in-differences design comparing awarded and non-awarded firms, we find that AI subsidies led to a sustained increase in job postings over five years, but with no statistically detectable change in employment. This pattern reflects hiring signals concentrated in AI occupations and white-collar roles. Our findings align with task-based models of automation, in which AI adoption reconfigures work and spurs demand for new skills, but hiring frictions and the need for complementary investments delay workforce expansion. %K hiring %K labor markets %K Artificial Intelligence %K task content %K technological change