TY  - RPRT
        AU  - Dachille, Giuseppe
AU  - Paola, Maria De
AU  - Nistico, Roberto
        TI  - Guaranteed Minimum Income and Fertility
        PY  - 2025/Sep/
        PB  - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
        CY  - Bonn
        T2  - IZA Discussion Paper
        IS  - 18105
        UR  - https://www.iza.org/publications/dp18105
        AB  - We study the fertility effects of Italy’s Reddito di Cittadinanza (RdC), a national minimum income program introduced in 2019. Exploiting administrative data from the Italian Social Security Institute and a Fuzzy Regression Discontinuity Design, we document that RdC increased recipients’ childbirth probability by 1.5 percentage points (18%) over two years in the South, with no effect in the Centre-North. Labor supply declined by 10%, but only in the Centre-North. Regional heterogeneity reflects differences in gender norms, financial constraints, and opportunity costs of childbearing. Our findings highlight how income transfers interact with local context to shape demographic and labor market behavior.
        KW  - RDD
KW  - fertility
KW  - guaranteed minimum income
        ER  -