@TechReport{iza:izadps:dp17958,
            	author={Jinkins, David Carson and Kuka, Elira and Labanca, Claudio},
            	title={Welfare Programs and Crime Spillovers},
            	year={2025},
	month={Jun},
            	institution={Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)},
            	address={Bonn},
            	type={IZA Discussion Paper},
            	number={17958},
            	url={https://www.iza.org/publications/dp17958},
	abstract={Research on the social safety net examines its effects on recipients and their families. We show that these effects extend beyond recipients’ families. Using a regression discontinuity design and administrative data, we study a Danish policy that cut welfare benefits for refugees, increasing crime among affected individuals. Linking refugees to neighbors, we find increased crime among non-Danish neighbors, with spillovers persisting even after direct effects stabilize. Accounting for these spillovers raises the marginal value of public funds by 20%. We explore several mechanisms and find evidence consistent with peer effects among young individuals from the same country of origin.},
	keywords={spillovers;welfare programs;crime},
            }