%0 Report %A Buchheim, Lukas %A Link, Sebastian %A Möhrle, Sascha %T Inflation and Wage Expectations of Firms and Employees %D 2024 %8 2024 Sep %I Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) %C Bonn %7 IZA Discussion Paper %N 17269 %U https://www.iza.org/publications/dp17269 %X We study the link between expected inflation and wages using novel panel data from German firms and employees. We find that pass-through—the percentage point change in wage growth given a one percentage point change in expected inflation—is small: 0.11–0.17 for firms and 0.03–0.07 for employees. Utilizing variation in the coverage length of collective agreements, we estimate that passthrough at the intensive margin is 1.4-2 times larger than average pass-through, highlighting the importance of wage rigidities for pass-through. Pass-through also rises with the bargaining power of employees. At the extensive margin, expected inflation has little effect on additional wage negotiations. %K wage expectations %K inflation %K pass-through %K wage-price spirals %K bargaining %K firms %K employees %K survey data