TY  - RPRT
        AU  - Adema, Joop
AU  - Aksoy, Cevat Giray
AU  - Giesing, Yvonne
AU  - Poutvaara, Panu
        TI  - The Effect of Conflict on Refugees' Return and Integration: Evidence from Ukraine
        PY  - 2024/Apr/
        PB  - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
        CY  - Bonn
        T2  - IZA Discussion Paper
        IS  - 16962
        UR  - https://www.iza.org/publications/dp16962
        AB  - What is the causal effect of conflict on refugees' return and integration? To answer this question, we launched a panel survey of Ukrainian refugees across Europe in June 2022 and combined it with geocoded conflict data. Most refugees plan to return, and initial return intentions strongly predict actual return. Those who initially plan to settle outside Ukraine integrate faster. Increased conflict intensity in the home municipality discourages return there, but not to Ukraine as a whole. It also has no effect on the likelihood of working. Liberation of the home district increases return, while increased pessimism about the outcome of the war reduces return intentions.
        KW  - conflict
KW  - Ukraine
KW  - migration
KW  - refugees
KW  - return migration
KW  - integration
        ER  -