@TechReport{iza:izadps:dp16898, author={Mahajan, Parag and Patki, Dhiren and Stüber, Heiko}, title={Bad Times, Bad Jobs? How Recessions Affect Early Career Trajectories}, year={2024}, month={Apr}, institution={Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)}, address={Bonn}, type={IZA Discussion Paper}, number={16898}, url={https://www.iza.org/publications/dp16898}, abstract={Workers who enter the labor market during recessions experience lasting earnings losses, but the role of non-pay amenities in exacerbating or counteracting these losses remains unknown. Using population-scale data from Germany, we find that labor market entry during recessions generates a 5 percent reduction in earnings cumulated over the first decade of experience. Implementing a revealed-preference estimator of employer quality that aggregates information from the universe of worker moves across employers, we find that 17 percent of recession-induced earnings losses are compensated by non-pay amenities. Purely pecuniary estimates can therefore overstate the welfare costs of labor market entry during recessions.}, keywords={earnings inequality;recessions;non-pay amenities}, }