TY - RPRT AU - Prasad, Eswar TI - Has China's Growth Gone from Miracle to Malady? PY - 2023/May/ PB - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) CY - Bonn T2 - IZA Discussion Paper IS - 16140 UR - https://www.iza.org/publications/dp16140 AB - China's remarkable run of persistently high growth in recent decades is all the more stunning in light of the country's low levels of financial and institutional development, state-dominated economy, and nondemocratic government. Notwithstanding the inefficient and risky growth model, the government has maneuvered the economy around various stresses without any major financial or economic crash. With a shrinking labor force and declining efficiency of investment, raising productivity growth is key to maintaining reasonable GDP growth. Unbalanced reforms, a schizophrenic approach to the role of the market versus the state, and strains in financial and property markets could result in significant volatility but a financial or economic collapse is not in the cards. KW - growth rebalancing KW - sectoral reallocation KW - demographics KW - productivity growth KW - financial risks ER -