@TechReport{iza:izadps:dp15706, author={Gonçalves, Duarte and Peralta, Susana and Santos, João Pereira dos}, title={Short-Term Rental Bans and Housing Prices: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from Lisbon}, year={2022}, month={Nov}, institution={Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)}, address={Bonn}, type={IZA Discussion Paper}, number={15706}, url={https://www.iza.org/publications/dp15706}, abstract={We estimate the causal impact of a 2018 zoning reform that banned new short-term rental registries in some parts of Lisbon. The short-term rental licence expires when the house is sold, hence the ban removes the option value of short-term renting a property. We rely on two administrative data sets on short-term rental registries and real estate transactions, complemented with Airbnb data on listings and prices. We employ a difference-in-differences estimation taking advantage of the spatial discontinuity in the ban. We document a spike in newly registered housing units, between the announcement and the implementation of the ban. The reform decreases real estate prices by 8%, mostly in two-bedroom dwellings, for which the price drops 20%. We conclude that heterogeneous effects are key to understanding the backlash against short-term rentals. }, keywords={Airbnb;policy analysis;housing market;short-term rental;Portugal}, }