TY - RPRT AU - Arntz, Melanie AU - Ivanov, Boris AU - Pohlan, Laura TI - Regional Structural Change and the Effects of Job Loss PY - 2022/May/ PB - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) CY - Bonn T2 - IZA Discussion Paper IS - 15313 UR - https://www.iza.org/publications/dp15313 AB - Routine-intensive occupations have been declining in many countries, but how does this affect individual workers’ careers if this decline is particularly severe in their local labor market? This paper uses administrative data from Germany and a matched difference-in-differences approach to show that the individual costs of job loss strongly depend on the task-bias of regional structural change. Workers displaced from routine manual occupations have substantially higher and more persistent employment and wage losses in regions where such occupations decline the most. Regional and occupational mobility partly serve as an adjustment mechanism, but come at high cost as these switches also involve losses in firm wage premia. Non-displaced workers, by contrast, remain largely unaffected by structural change. KW - routine-biased structural change KW - local labor markets KW - displacement KW - mass-layoffs KW - plant closures KW - matching KW - difference-in-differences KW - event study ER -