@TechReport{iza:izadps:dp14948,
            	author={Dahl, Gordon B. and Lu, Runjing and Mullins, William},
            	title={Partisan Fertility and Presidential Elections},
            	year={2021},
	month={Dec},
            	institution={Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)},
            	address={Bonn},
            	type={IZA Discussion Paper},
            	number={14948},
            	url={https://www.iza.org/publications/dp14948},
	abstract={Changes in political leadership drive sharp changes in public policy and partisan beliefs about the future. We exploit the surprise 2016 election of Trump to identify the effects of a shift in political power on one of the most consequential household decisions: whether to have a child. Republican-leaning counties experience a sharp and persistent increase in fertility relative to Democratic counties, a shift amounting to 1.2 to 2.2% of the national fertility rate. In addition, Hispanics see fertility fall relative to non-Hispanics, especially compared to rural or evangelical whites. },
	keywords={fertility;partisanship;elections},
            }