%0 Report %A Schneider, Hilmar %A Uhlendorff, Arne %T The Transition from Welfare to Work and the Role of Potential Labor Income %D 2004 %8 2004 Dec %I Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) %C Bonn %7 IZA Discussion Paper %N 1420 %U https://www.iza.org/publications/dp1420 %X It is often argued that the high level of welfare claims in Germany causes little incentive for workers with low productivity to seek for a job. We examine the influence of the ratio between estimated potential labor income and the welfare payment level on the probability of leaving social welfare. Using the GSOEP, we estimate a discrete time hazard rate model with competing risks and unobserved heterogeneity. Our results show that the ratio has a positive effect on the probability of leaving social welfare. This effect is especially relevant for households with a potential labor income higher than their welfare payment level. %K duration analysis %K labor supply %K social welfare