TY - RPRT AU - Wang, Xintong AU - Flores-Lagunes, Alfonso TI - Conscription and Military Service: Do They Result in Future Violent and Non-Violent Incarcerations and Recidivism? PY - 2020/Dec/ PB - Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) CY - Bonn T2 - IZA Discussion Paper IS - 14003 UR - https://www.iza.org/publications/dp14003 AB - Employing nonparametric bounds, we examine the effect of military service on incarceration outcomes using the Vietnam draft lotteries as a possibly invalid instrumental variable for military service. The draft is allowed to have a direct effect on the outcomes independently of military service, disposing of the exclusion restriction. We find: (i) suggestive but not strong statistical evidence that the direct effect of the draft increases the incarceration rate for violent offenses for a particular cohort of draft avoiders, and (ii) military service increases the incarceration rate for violent and nonviolent crimes of white volunteers and veterans in certain birth cohorts. KW - conscription KW - military service KW - nonparametric bounds KW - incarceration KW - crime ER -