@TechReport{iza:izadps:dp14003, author={Wang, Xintong and Flores-Lagunes, Alfonso}, title={Conscription and Military Service: Do They Result in Future Violent and Non-Violent Incarcerations and Recidivism?}, year={2020}, month={Dec}, institution={Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)}, address={Bonn}, type={IZA Discussion Paper}, number={14003}, url={https://www.iza.org/publications/dp14003}, abstract={Employing nonparametric bounds, we examine the effect of military service on incarceration outcomes using the Vietnam draft lotteries as a possibly invalid instrumental variable for military service. The draft is allowed to have a direct effect on the outcomes independently of military service, disposing of the exclusion restriction. We find: (i) suggestive but not strong statistical evidence that the direct effect of the draft increases the incarceration rate for violent offenses for a particular cohort of draft avoiders, and (ii) military service increases the incarceration rate for violent and nonviolent crimes of white volunteers and veterans in certain birth cohorts.}, keywords={conscription;military service;nonparametric bounds;incarceration;crime}, }