@TechReport{iza:izadps:dp13633, author={Gregory, Terry and Zierahn-Weilage, Ulrich}, title={When the Minimum Wage Really Bites Hard: Impact on Top Earners and Skill Supply}, year={2020}, month={Aug}, institution={Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)}, address={Bonn}, type={IZA Discussion Paper}, number={13633}, url={https://www.iza.org/publications/dp13633}, abstract={This paper provides new insights into how wages and employment adjust to a minimum wage policy along different wage and skill groups. For this, we exploit a quasi-experimental setting in the 1990s, where a German industry introduced a minimum wage at an extraordinary high level during an economic downturn with falling revenues. We find positive wage spillovers to medium-skilled workers with wages just above the minimum wage. More striking, we also find negative wage effects for high-skilled workers situated higher up in the wage distribution, followed by reduced returns to skills and skill supply in the industry. We explain these adjustments, both theoretically and empirically, with a substitution-scale model that predicts negative spillovers whenever labour demand shifts from low- to more skilled workers (substitution effect) are overcompensated by an overall decline in labour demand (scale effect).}, keywords={scale effect;unconditional quantile regression;returns to skills;spillover effects;wage restraints;wage effects;minimum wages;substitution effect;skill supply}, }