%0 Report %A Hansen, Jörgen %A Kristensen, Nicolai %A Andersen, Henrik Lindegaard %T The Bottom 20%: Early Career Paths of Adolescents with Low GPA %D 2020 %8 2020 Aug %I Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) %C Bonn %7 IZA Discussion Paper %N 13564 %U https://www.iza.org/publications/dp13564 %X Across nations, large proportions of younger birth cohorts obtain no professional qualications. Using a structural dynamic approach, we analyze policies targeted adolescents who leave grade nine with a GPA in the bottom 20%. We find that preparatory courses, offered to young people who are unable to commence a qualifying degree, have no positive impact on future labor market outcomes. Unobservable noncognitive qualities are more important for this group than are cognitive skills. Education is a good option for some, but not for all. Implications for mechanism design and wage support schemes are discussed. %K structural dynamic programming %K adolescents %K education